Sha Tin · 2021-04-25
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HALL OF CHAMP, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with SUPER MISSION second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MISSION SMART finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT 1.22.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 8.4 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER MISSION Closed strongly H/CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 5.3 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H1/XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 76.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING Led early CP1/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | MISSION SMART Closed strongly CP-/H/B1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 234.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 9.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 108.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | TOP ACCOLADE Closed strongly B-/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 204.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SEA MONARCH H/V/TT2 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 96.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | ENCHANTING START B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 5.6 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | VIVA POPCORN H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 6 | 51.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MISSION SMART | 31.9% | 3.13 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | ENCHANTING START | 20.4% | 4.90 | 13 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER MISSION | 9.3% | 10.72 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CITY LEGEND | 8.3% | 12.11 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | FORTUNE MASTER | 8.0% | 12.45 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | BIG TWO | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 5.5% | 18.05 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 3.7% | 26.92 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.4% | 41.34 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | VIVA POPCORN | 1.5% | 68.77 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | AMAZING BOY | 1.2% | 81.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SEA MONARCH | 1.1% | 94.48 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.6% | 179.04 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | RUBY STARS | 0.5% | 208.47 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 84
PLACE
1 26
5 197
7 20.5
QUINELLA
1,7 232
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 886
1,7 78
5,7 779.5
FORECAST
1,7 531
TIERCE
1,7,5 28,868
TRIO
1,5,7 5,168
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 8,101
QUARTET
1,7,5,3 178,148
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 30.5
A1 —
A3 —