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Sha Tin · 2021-04-25

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 1.2 HD
2 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly J Moreira · K W Lui 3 9.1 HD
3 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 4 8.6 3-1/2
4 0 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 20.0 4
5 0 KA YING STAR V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 6 15.0 4
6 0 MIGHTY GIANT B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 1 32.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with MORE THAN THIS second and SOUTHERN LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. MORE THAN THIS+0.2L3. SOUTHERN LEGEND+3.5L4. HEALTHY HAPPY+4L5. KA YING STAR+4L6. MIGHTY GIANT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (29.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 29.7% 3.37 1
2 0 KA YING STAR 19.6% 5.11 5
3 0 MORE THAN THIS 18.9% 5.29 2
4 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND 14.6% 6.84 3
5 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 9.9% 10.11 4
6 0 MIGHTY GIANT 7.3% 13.64 6
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonKA YING STARMORE THAN THISSOUTHERN LEGENDHEALTHY HAPPYMIGHTY GIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 12

PLACE

1 11.5

5 26

QUINELLA

1,5 38.5

FORECAST

1,5 44

TIERCE

1,5,2 78

TRIO

1,2,5 33

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 46

QUARTET

1,5,2,6 269

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,8,9/1,2,5 15,531

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

2/1 197.5

2/5 86.5