Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-04-25

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 6 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-25 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with MORE THAN THIS second and SOUTHERN LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.33.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 1.2 HD
2 5 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly J Moreira · K W Lui 3 9.1 HD
3 2 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 4 8.6 3-1/2
4 6 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 20.0 4
5 3 KA YING STAR V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 6 15.0 4
6 4 MIGHTY GIANT B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 1 32.0 5-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY2. MORE THAN THIS+0.2L3. SOUTHERN LEGEND+3.5L4. HEALTHY HAPPY+4L5. KA YING STAR+4L6. MIGHTY GIANT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (29.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY 29.7% 3.37 1
2 3 KA YING STAR 19.6% 5.11 5
3 5 MORE THAN THIS 18.9% 5.29 2
4 2 SOUTHERN LEGEND 14.6% 6.84 3
5 6 HEALTHY HAPPY 9.9% 10.11 4
6 4 MIGHTY GIANT 7.3% 13.64 6
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonKA YING STARMORE THAN THISSOUTHERN LEGENDHEALTHY HAPPYMIGHTY GIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 12

PLACE

1 11.5

5 26

QUINELLA

1,5 38.5

FORECAST

1,5 44

TIERCE

1,5,2 78

TRIO

1,2,5 33

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 46

QUARTET

1,5,2,6 269

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,8,9/1,2,5 15,531

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

2/1 197.5

2/5 86.5