沙田 · 2021-05-12
第 4場
2021-05-12沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的STRIKING MR C勝出，贏出1-1/2。AMAZING KNIGHT獲得亞軍；DEMONS ROCK獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門BEAUTY CHEERS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STRIKING MR C B/TT 1.08.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT P2 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 59.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | FOREVER CITY H/TT C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS E/P1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD P2/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 44.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | DIVINE ERA XB-/H K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 6.3 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | SURE WINNER B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 8 | 57.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | COBY OPPA CP/XB/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 28.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 7 | 131.0 | 36-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 28.7% | 3.48 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 28.4% | 3.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | DIVINE ERA | 11.6% | 8.60 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | FOREVER CITY | 8.1% | 12.29 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | STRIKING MR C | 5.6% | 17.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 4.5% | 22.18 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 4.0% | 24.91 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | DEMONS ROCK | 3.4% | 29.68 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | DOLLAR REWARD | 2.5% | 39.46 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | COBY OPPA | 1.1% | 89.48 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 1.1% | 94.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | SURE WINNER | 0.9% | 117.50 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 85
PLACE
2 18.5
10 33.5
12 112.5
QUINELLA
2,12 1,746.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 117.5
2,12 425
10,12 840.5
FORECAST
2,12 2,698
TIERCE
2,12,10 25,941
TRIO
2,10,12 6,073
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 4,037
QUARTET
2,12,10,6 159,053
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/2,10,12 108,613
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 338
4/12 426.5