沙田 · 2021-05-12
第 8場
2021-05-12沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、K H Ting訓練的MAN STAR勝出，贏出N。HARMONY SPIRIT獲得亞軍；GUNNISON獲得季軍。頭馬以4.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MAN STAR V 1.08.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 4.9 | N |
| 2 | 8 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B2 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY SHOW B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ELON P C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | TRADER CP-/B1/TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | MOERAKI B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 6.2 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | GOLFMAN STAR P-/PC1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | SUNSET WATCH A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 22.9% | 4.37 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | MAN STAR | 12.0% | 8.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SKY SHOW | 11.8% | 8.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLFMAN STAR | 9.8% | 10.24 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | MOERAKI | 9.3% | 10.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | TRADER | 9.0% | 11.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 8.2% | 12.19 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 7.9% | 12.64 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 4.5% | 22.30 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 2.2% | 44.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | GUNNISON | 1.4% | 73.05 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | ELON | 1.0% | 102.98 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 49.5
PLACE
1 76
5 19
8 27
QUINELLA
5,8 222
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 235
1,8 415
5,8 80.5
FORECAST
5,8 433
TIERCE
5,8,1 6,231
TRIO
1,5,8 1,570
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 4,306
QUARTET
5,8,1,6 73,814
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/1,5,8 84,623
7TH DOUBLE
9/5 136
9/8 39.5
SIX UP
1,4/2,12/5,12/7,14/2,9/5,8 10,301
4/2/5/7/9/5 129,423
4 [C L Chau] —
TREBLE
7/9/5 286
7/9/8 130