沙田 · 2021-05-12
第 5場
2021-05-12沙田第5場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C L Chau策騎、C W Chang訓練的GALLANT LEGACY勝出,贏出3/4。THE BEST HERO獲得亞軍;HOLYSHOWCASING獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門INFINITE POWER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALLANT LEGACY SR2/TT 1.08.75 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 12 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | THE BEST HERO V-/B1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 10 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HOLYSHOWCASING T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 2 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | INFINITE POWER CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER ALLIANCES P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER CP-/BO2 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 11 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 4.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 8.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | WISDOM PATCH XB-/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 55.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | GOKO B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 67.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 7 | THOU SHALL SING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | INFINITE POWER | 24.5% | 4.08 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME | 15.3% | 6.52 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL | 14.2% | 7.07 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | LITTLE THUNDER | 11.7% | 8.54 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 8.8% | 11.39 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | GALLANT LEGACY | 5.9% | 16.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER | 5.7% | 17.43 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | GOKO | 5.4% | 18.63 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | WISDOM PATCH | 4.1% | 24.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | THE BEST HERO | 3.7% | 27.39 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 0.7% | 144.01 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 91
PLACE
5 24
11 66.5
12 47
QUINELLA
5,12 613
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 354.5
5,12 187.5
11,12 545
FORECAST
5,12 1,176
TIERCE
5,12,11 24,461
TRIO
5,11,12 5,484
FIRST 4
5,10,11,12 3,505
QUARTET
5,12,11,10 107,133
全部彩池(另 2 項)
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/5 754.5
2/12 204