Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-05-12

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 11 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALLANT LEGACY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with THE BEST HERO second and HOLYSHOWCASING third. The 3.8 favourite INFINITE POWER finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.08.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 GALLANT LEGACY SR2/TT 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C W Chang 12 9.1 3/4
2 12 THE BEST HERO V-/B1 H W Lai · L Ho 10 14.0 3/4
3 11 HOLYSHOWCASING T Piccone · D E Ferraris 2 19.0 1-1/2
4 10 INFINITE POWER CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor 6 3.8 1-3/4
5 4 HANDSOME REBEL B J Moreira · Y S Tsui 4 5.0 3-1/2
6 2 SUPER ALLIANCES P K Teetan · J Size 9 11.0 3-3/4
7 8 MIGHTY POWER CP-/BO2 C Schofield · D A Hayes 11 50.0 3-3/4
8 1 MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT A Badel · K L Man 7 4.0 5-1/2
9 9 LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard 3 8.0 6-1/2
10 3 WISDOM PATCH XB-/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 8 55.0 7
11 6 GOKO B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 5 67.0 11-1/4
7 THOU SHALL SING C Y Ho · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALLANT LEGACY2. THE BEST HERO+0.75L3. HOLYSHOWCASING+1.5L4. INFINITE POWER+1.75L5. HANDSOME REBEL+3.5L6. SUPER ALLIANCES+3.75L7. MIGHTY POWER+3.75L8. MAGIC SUPREME+5.5L9. LITTLE THUNDER+6.5L10. WISDOM PATCH+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick INFINITE POWER (24.5%) finished 4th — the winner GALLANT LEGACY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 INFINITE POWER 24.5% 4.08 4
2 1 MAGIC SUPREME 15.3% 6.52 8
3 4 HANDSOME REBEL 14.2% 7.07 5
4 9 LITTLE THUNDER 11.7% 8.54 9
5 2 SUPER ALLIANCES 8.8% 11.39 6
6 5 GALLANT LEGACY 5.9% 16.97 1
7 8 MIGHTY POWER 5.7% 17.43 7
8 6 GOKO 5.4% 18.63 11
9 3 WISDOM PATCH 4.1% 24.16 10
10 12 THE BEST HERO 3.7% 27.39 2
11 11 HOLYSHOWCASING 0.7% 144.01 3
INFINITE POWERMAGIC SUPREMEHANDSOME REBELLITTLE THUNDERSUPER ALLIANCESGALLANT LEGACY — wonMIGHTY POWERGOKOWISDOM PATCHTHE BEST HEROHOLYSHOWCASING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 91

PLACE

5 24

11 66.5

12 47

QUINELLA

5,12 613

QUINELLA PLACE

5,11 354.5

5,12 187.5

11,12 545

FORECAST

5,12 1,176

TIERCE

5,12,11 24,461

TRIO

5,11,12 5,484

FIRST 4

5,10,11,12 3,505

QUARTET

5,12,11,10 107,133

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 26.5

A1

A2

4TH DOUBLE

2/5 754.5

2/12 204