沙田 · 2021-05-12
第 7場
2021-05-12沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUPER WINNER勝出，贏出HD。CRAIG'S STAR獲得亞軍；CHANCHENG PRINCE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WINNER 一路領先 TT 1.21.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 5 | 2.9 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE P-/XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 CP1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 後段發力 V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 4.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN SR2/TT1 R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 11 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SPEND K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 67.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | BEAUTY DAY B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | JUNEAU PARK A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 33.0 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WINNER | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 18.4% | 5.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 13.5% | 7.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 8.2% | 12.24 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.8% | 14.61 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | JUNEAU PARK | 5.8% | 17.34 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY DAY | 4.7% | 21.35 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.7% | 26.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | SPEND | 2.9% | 34.02 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.2% | 44.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 1.5% | 65.42 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 29
PLACE
2 28.5
3 45
9 14
QUINELLA
2,9 166
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 126.5
2,9 61.5
3,9 95
FORECAST
9,2 195
TIERCE
9,2,3 1,862
TRIO
2,3,9 459
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 582
QUARTET
9,2,3,4 8,111
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 41
7/9 56.5