跑馬地 · 2021-05-19
第 7場
2021-05-19跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI GALAXY勝出，贏出3/4。BE READY獲得亞軍；HERE COMES TED獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門SPONTANEOUS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PING HAI GALAXY 1.09.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 42.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BE READY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HERE COMES TED TT1 J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SPONTANEOUS V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 2.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING NEWS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SHOUSON B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | YOO YOO KING TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 63.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | JOYFUL UNION R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | LINCOLN BRIGHT H1/XB1/TT1 K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 2 | 58.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HERE COMES TED | 29.3% | 3.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | SPONTANEOUS | 16.7% | 5.97 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | BE READY | 14.2% | 7.05 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 7.7% | 13.05 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | SHOUSON | 6.5% | 15.36 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | JOYFUL UNION | 5.7% | 17.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.9% | 25.92 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | AMAZING NEWS | 3.4% | 29.59 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | LINCOLN BRIGHT | 3.2% | 30.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | YOO YOO KING | 1.9% | 53.99 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 427.5
PLACE
2 15
9 71
11 19
QUINELLA
2,9 1,205
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 284
2,11 41
9,11 218.5
FORECAST
9,2 2,580
TIERCE
9,2,11 14,340
TRIO
2,9,11 1,427
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 2,794
QUARTET
9,2,11,4 94,348
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,10/2,9,11 50,179
3 PICK 1
A3 45
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 26.5
7/9 1,064.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,7/1,7,10/2,9,11 3,364,702
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,7/1,7,10/Any Combination 633