跑馬地 · 2021-05-19
第 9場
2021-05-19跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的XIANG BAI QI勝出，贏出1/2。MURRAY'S PARTNERS獲得亞軍；GOLDEN SPECTRUM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門SUPERBELLA跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | XIANG BAI QI 後段發力 B 1.48.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V2 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 90.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM 後段發力 CP/H/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DYNAMIC EAGLE 後段發力 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 11 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | FAST PACE 早段領放 H M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPERBELLA V/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 2.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CINQUANTE CINQ M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 7.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 3 | 20.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 180.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPERBELLA | 31.8% | 3.14 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 29.4% | 3.40 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | FAST PACE | 6.7% | 14.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | XIANG BAI QI | 6.7% | 14.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | ENTRUSTED | 5.4% | 18.42 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.6% | 21.95 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS | 4.5% | 22.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 3.8% | 26.38 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 3.6% | 28.02 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 2.1% | 47.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 1.1% | 93.84 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY | 0.3% | 321.90 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 106
PLACE
2 26
4 28
12 157.5
QUINELLA
4,12 5,226.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 112
2,12 1,130.5
4,12 1,166.5
FORECAST
4,12 8,585
TIERCE
4,12,2 94,444
TRIO
2,4,12 13,203
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 26,986
QUARTET
4,12,2,6 563,242
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/2,4,12 645,887
8TH DOUBLE
5/4 538
5/12 509.5
SIX UP
9/7/7/9/5/4 2,650,705
9,10/6,7/1,7/2,9/5,6/4,12 34,036
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/5/4 26,345
9/5/12 20,606