跑馬地 · 2021-05-19
第 6場
2021-05-19跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAVVY KINGMAN勝出，贏出1。MORE THAN ENOUGH獲得亞軍；THUNDER STOMP獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAVVY KINGMAN 一路領先 1.39.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MORE THAN ENOUGH 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | THUNDER STOMP 後段發力 B- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ROYAL RACER 後段發力 V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SEAWEED FORTUNE 後段發力 B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 XB A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER BULLET B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | MING WARRIOR TT C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 1 | 9.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 8 | 24.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 42.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SINCERE BOY B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 89.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 31.9% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 17.5% | 5.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | ROYAL RACER | 14.7% | 6.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 8.0% | 12.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | CHATER PINS | 8.0% | 12.56 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.9% | 25.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.8% | 26.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | MING WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER BULLET | 3.1% | 32.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.6% | 38.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | LIGHT MY DAY | 2.0% | 50.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | SINCERE BOY | 1.4% | 73.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 26.5
PLACE
1 16.5
7 12.5
10 44
QUINELLA
1,7 70
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 30
1,10 97.5
7,10 78.5
FORECAST
7,1 106
TIERCE
7,1,10 1,399
TRIO
1,7,10 427
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 672
QUARTET
7,1,10,3 8,940
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 49
7/7 111.5