Happy Valley · 2021-05-19
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Wire to wire 1.39.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Closed strongly B- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly XB A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER BULLET B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | MING WARRIOR TT C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 1 | 9.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 42.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SINCERE BOY B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 89.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | — | 24.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SAVVY KINGMAN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with MORE THAN ENOUGH second and THUNDER STOMP third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 31.9% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 17.5% | 5.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 14.7% | 6.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 8.0% | 12.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 8.0% | 12.56 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.9% | 25.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.8% | 26.05 | — |
| 8 | 0 | MING WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER BULLET | 3.1% | 32.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.6% | 38.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 2.0% | 50.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | SINCERE BOY | 1.4% | 73.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 26.5
PLACE
1 16.5
7 12.5
10 44
QUINELLA
1,7 70
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 30
1,10 97.5
7,10 78.5
FORECAST
7,1 106
TIERCE
7,1,10 1,399
TRIO
1,7,10 427
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 672
QUARTET
7,1,10,3 8,940
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 49
7/7 111.5