Happy Valley · 2021-05-19
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS XB/B2/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 7 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA Closed strongly B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT2 R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FOCUS B-/CP1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 11 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY STORM P-/H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 111.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 10 | 29.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-19 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with WONDERFUL TIGER second and WONDER EXPRESS third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BABY STORM | 13.1% | 7.65 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 6.9% | 14.57 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 4.9% | 20.42 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 4.9% | 20.50 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 3.8% | 26.43 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.0% | 33.17 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 2.3% | 44.03 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | FOCUS | 2.0% | 50.82 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FIRE AND GOLD | 1.1% | 88.36 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 19.5
PLACE
4 12.5
5 18
10 45.5
QUINELLA
4,10 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 27.5
4,10 71.5
5,10 137.5
FORECAST
4,10 186
TIERCE
4,10,5 1,044
TRIO
4,5,10 237
FIRST 4
4,5,7,10 296
QUARTET
4,10,5,7 4,219
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —