Happy Valley · 2021-05-19
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RHAPSODY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with TELECOM ROCKET second and WHAT A LEGEND third. The 3.4 favourite WHAT A LEGEND finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RHAPSODY 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 5.5 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ARES C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | LORIZ R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FALCON TURBO XB-/B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 4 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LITTLE BIRD B-/V2/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 101.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | OURGOLDENRULES B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | CHIKORITA XB K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RHAPSODY | 31.5% | 3.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET | 15.0% | 6.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | ARES | 11.3% | 8.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | WHAT A LEGEND | 7.0% | 14.24 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.9% | 16.87 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | OURGOLDENRULES | 5.5% | 18.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | MASTER ALBERT | 5.1% | 19.72 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | JAZZ STEED | 5.0% | 19.93 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 4.5% | 22.40 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | CHIKORITA | 3.5% | 28.38 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | LORIZ | 3.4% | 29.46 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | LITTLE BIRD | 2.1% | 46.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 55.5
PLACE
5 16
6 17
7 23
QUINELLA
6,7 141
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 39
5,7 47
6,7 54.5
FORECAST
7,6 290
TIERCE
7,6,5 845
TRIO
5,6,7 160
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 301
QUARTET
7,6,5,3 6,379
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,10/5,6,7 42,116
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/6 70
9/7 254.5