跑馬地 · 2021-07-07
第 6場
2021-07-07跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Maia策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WIN WIN STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。TELECOM ROCKET獲得亞軍；STORMTROUPER獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門MANAGEMENT SUPREME跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR 1.09.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | STORMTROUPER Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 7.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY CHEERS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | TEAM GOODLUCK TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 54.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | PEAK TO PEAK SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | POISED TO STRIKE CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 11 | 44.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 90.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 28.3% | 3.53 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 19.5% | 5.12 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET | 12.2% | 8.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 8.8% | 11.39 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | STORMTROUPER | 6.9% | 14.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 5.6% | 17.71 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | PEAK TO PEAK | 5.1% | 19.63 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE | 4.0% | 24.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | POISED TO STRIKE | 3.8% | 26.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR | 2.9% | 34.77 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 1.8% | 55.92 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.0% | 99.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 163.5
PLACE
1 22
7 45
9 20.5
QUINELLA
1,7 842.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 183.5
1,9 105
7,9 221.5
FORECAST
7,1 1,925
TIERCE
7,1,9 18,938
TRIO
1,7,9 2,469
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 959
QUARTET
7,1,9,4 41,280
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 38.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 80.5
11/7 1,491.5