跑馬地 · 2021-07-07
第 8場
2021-07-07跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的FAMILY FOLKS勝出，贏出SH。RHAPSODY獲得亞軍；UTOPIA LIFE獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門HONG KONG BET跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FAMILY FOLKS CP 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 9 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | UTOPIA LIFE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 96.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | TELECOM SMART CP1/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | HONG KONG BET TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BRILLIANT LIFE B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 12 | 87.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 7 | 159.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 1 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | STANLEY PARK B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 6.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG KONG BET | 19.8% | 5.05 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | TELECOM SMART | 16.6% | 6.03 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | RHAPSODY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT | 11.7% | 8.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 11.6% | 8.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | STANLEY PARK | 9.5% | 10.52 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | FAMILY FOLKS | 7.7% | 12.98 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.3% | 23.37 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 1.9% | 51.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | UTOPIA LIFE | 1.9% | 52.85 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER | 1.2% | 86.16 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION | 1.0% | 102.05 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 108
PLACE
8 31
11 181.5
12 33
QUINELLA
8,12 419.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 1,161.5
8,12 167
11,12 1,010
FORECAST
8,12 1,158
TIERCE
8,12,11 55,427
TRIO
8,11,12 12,224
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 7,816
QUARTET
8,12,11,9 212,558
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
9/8 1,599.5
9/12 218.5