跑馬地 · 2021-07-07
第 5場
2021-07-07跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的FARIBAULT勝出，贏出NOSE。PARTY WARRIOR獲得亞軍；JAZZ STEED獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門AMAZING ROCKY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FARIBAULT CP 0.56.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 6.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | JAZZ STEED TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 5 | 8.6 | N |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MY MY MY J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 7 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SEA ELITE SR-/H/B1/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LEAN LEGEND XB1/TT1 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 135.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H-/CP1 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 212.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | FARM BUMPER B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 50.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 15.2% | 6.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | FARIBAULT | 14.2% | 7.03 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | MY MY MY | 13.0% | 7.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 11.4% | 8.76 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | PARTY WARRIOR | 10.4% | 9.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | PACKING CHAMPION | 9.9% | 10.09 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | JAZZ STEED | 8.3% | 12.08 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SEA ELITE | 7.2% | 13.88 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 1.8% | 56.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | LEAN LEGEND | 1.6% | 63.13 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | FARM BUMPER | 1.5% | 67.21 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 47.5
PLACE
3 21
4 20.5
11 19.5
QUINELLA
4,11 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75.5
3,11 74.5
4,11 47
FORECAST
11,4 220
TIERCE
11,4,3 976
TRIO
3,4,11 242
FIRST 4
1,3,4,11 185
QUARTET
11,4,3,1 3,430
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,4,11 13,848
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 26.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/4 46
6/11 302.5