跑馬地 · 2021-07-07
第 7場
2021-07-07跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SIMPLY FLUKE勝出，贏出1。THE RUNNER獲得亞軍；CLASSIC POSH獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門COMPASSION SPIRIT跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SIMPLY FLUKE B/XB 1.09.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | THE RUNNER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CLASSIC POSH H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 7 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MAJESTIC STAR A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | WINE AND WINE TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ELIGERE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER DOBBIN B B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 1 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS H1/B2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 6.4 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 13.9% | 7.22 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | MAJESTIC STAR | 11.7% | 8.56 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER DOBBIN | 11.6% | 8.59 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | ELIGERE | 8.6% | 11.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | CLASSIC POSH | 8.1% | 12.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS | 7.6% | 13.23 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 6.7% | 14.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 6.7% | 15.01 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 6.5% | 15.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | THE RUNNER | 5.6% | 17.76 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | WINE AND WINE | 5.2% | 19.20 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 108
PLACE
7 26
8 41.5
9 32.5
QUINELLA
8,9 763
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 220.5
7,9 110
8,9 230.5
FORECAST
9,8 912
TIERCE
9,8,7 7,129
TRIO
7,8,9 1,474
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 3,319
QUARTET
9,8,7,3 84,053
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/7,8,9 814,160
3 PICK 1
A1 40
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/8 814
7/9 2,526.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,11/1,7,9/Any Combination 28,406