Happy Valley · 2021-07-07
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FARIBAULT CP 0.56.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 6.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | JAZZ STEED TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 5 | 8.6 | N |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MY MY MY J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 7 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SEA ELITE SR-/H/B1/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | LEAN LEGEND XB1/TT1 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 135.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H-/CP1 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 212.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FARM BUMPER B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 50.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-07 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FARIBAULT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by NOSE, with PARTY WARRIOR second and JAZZ STEED third. The 3.3 favourite AMAZING ROCKY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY | 15.2% | 6.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | FARIBAULT | 14.2% | 7.03 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MY MY MY | 13.0% | 7.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 11.4% | 8.76 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR | 10.4% | 9.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING CHAMPION | 9.9% | 10.09 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | JAZZ STEED | 8.3% | 12.08 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SEA ELITE | 7.2% | 13.88 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 1.8% | 56.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | LEAN LEGEND | 1.6% | 63.13 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | FARM BUMPER | 1.5% | 67.21 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 47.5
PLACE
3 21
4 20.5
11 19.5
QUINELLA
4,11 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75.5
3,11 74.5
4,11 47
FORECAST
11,4 220
TIERCE
11,4,3 976
TRIO
3,4,11 242
FIRST 4
1,3,4,11 185
QUARTET
11,4,3,1 3,430
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,4,11 13,848
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 26.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/4 46
6/11 302.5