Happy Valley · 2021-07-07
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.40.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 11 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER KIN TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EVEN KEEL B/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly CP-/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART HUNTER Closed strongly B-/SR1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 8 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 4 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA CHEF B- K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 12.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JUMBO ENGINE H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-07 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KA FORTUNE, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and VICTORIOUS LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA FORTUNE | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 12.0% | 8.31 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 9.9% | 10.06 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 9.2% | 10.87 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 7.8% | 12.77 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | AFTER ME | 7.4% | 13.50 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 6.0% | 16.66 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART HUNTER | 6.0% | 16.69 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 5.0% | 19.94 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 1.7% | 59.72 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44
PLACE
2 18
9 18
11 37.5
QUINELLA
2,9 122
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 46.5
2,11 123
9,11 90.5
FORECAST
9,2 194
TIERCE
9,2,11 1,928
TRIO
2,9,11 501
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 529
QUARTET
9,2,11,8 9,992
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 38.5
2/9,10 169
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23
A3 —