Happy Valley · 2021-07-07
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RAINBOW LIGHT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with NOTHING NEW second and SAVVY KINGMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SAVVY KINGMAN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT 1.40.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly XB T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 10 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SAVVY KINGMAN J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 1 | 45.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BULLETPROOF TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 11 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW CP/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | OWNERS' STAR CP H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | PLAY WISE B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MISTER ARM Led early H-/P- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PRIME STAR B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 12 | 118.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TANGMERE TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 42.0% | 2.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 17.6% | 5.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW | 9.1% | 10.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | DREAM WARRIORS | 7.7% | 12.96 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | BULLETPROOF | 4.8% | 21.04 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | PLAY WISE | 3.6% | 28.00 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | OWNERS' STAR | 3.5% | 28.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | TANGMERE | 3.5% | 28.89 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | NOTHING NEW | 2.7% | 37.25 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | MISTER ARM | 2.5% | 40.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 2.0% | 49.40 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | PRIME STAR | 1.1% | 92.76 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 76.5
PLACE
2 66
4 13
6 20
QUINELLA
2,6 933
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 113
2,6 282
4,6 30
FORECAST
6,2 1,950
TIERCE
6,2,4 5,227
TRIO
2,4,6 654
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 475
2,4,6,11 1,975
QUARTET
6,2,4,1 16,021
6,2,4,11 52,476
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 30
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/2 110.5
8/6 124.5