沙田 · 2021-09-26
第 4場
2021-09-26沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H W Lai策騎、L Ho訓練的THE BEST HERO勝出，贏出SH。WHIZZ KID獲得亞軍；EIGHT TRIGRAMS獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門FORTUNE HAPPINESS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE BEST HERO B 1.09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 3 | 5.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BLOTTING PAPER B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 4.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | THE MINT H/V/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 8.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT P M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FOURAWARRIOR Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SHADOW RUNNER B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 27.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 138.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FOURAWARRIOR | 17.7% | 5.63 | 10 |
| 2 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 13.7% | 7.31 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | THE BEST HERO | 13.1% | 7.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 11.2% | 8.93 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 9.0% | 11.11 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 8.8% | 11.40 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 7.4% | 13.60 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | BLOTTING PAPER | 7.4% | 13.60 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 6.8% | 14.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | SHADOW RUNNER | 2.5% | 40.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | THE MINT | 1.3% | 76.65 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 1.2% | 83.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 50
PLACE
1 29.5
3 30.5
9 17
QUINELLA
3,9 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 94
1,9 79.5
3,9 79
FORECAST
9,3 536
TIERCE
9,3,1 3,414
TRIO
1,3,9 517
FIRST 4
1,3,4,9 1,925
QUARTET
9,3,1,4 40,010
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/1,3,9 34,827
8,10,11/1,3,9 21,280
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24
3RD DOUBLE
10/3 90
10/9 231