沙田 · 2021-09-26
第 1場
2021-09-26沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的IRON KING勝出，贏出3-3/4。GOLDEN MISSION獲得亞軍；ZACIAN獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門ZACIAN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | IRON KING TT 1.08.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 6 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION B H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 5 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ZACIAN B/TT- C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 4.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | VECTOR B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 11 | 51.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | VIVA CHEF M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SHANGHAI POWER B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FUN TIMES B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 10 | 66.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | E HONEY T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 7 | 25.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ZACIAN | 21.5% | 4.66 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SHANGHAI POWER | 14.4% | 6.97 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 9.1% | 10.95 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | IRON KING | 8.6% | 11.63 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 8.6% | 11.66 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | E HONEY | 6.3% | 15.84 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | VECTOR | 6.1% | 16.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 6.0% | 16.60 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | VIVA CHEF | 5.8% | 17.18 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | FUN TIMES | 5.4% | 18.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.5% | 22.11 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP | 3.7% | 26.74 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 21
3 17
12 18.5
QUINELLA
1,12 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 50
1,12 56.5
3,12 50.5
FORECAST
1,12 269
TIERCE
1,12,3 1,100
TRIO
1,3,12 256
FIRST 4
1,3,5,12 466
QUARTET
1,12,3,5 8,000
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22