沙田 · 2021-09-26
第 6場
2021-09-26沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、T P Yung訓練的VOYAGE STAR勝出，贏出SH。BREEZE OF SPRING獲得亞軍；LIGHT OF WANSHI獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.7倍大熱門BREEZE OF SPRING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | VOYAGE STAR 一路領先 V/TT 1.21.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 4.9 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS 後段發力 XB1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AWE 後段發力 B-/PC1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SHINING RED C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LEGION OF MERIT 後段發力 H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 140.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 139.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | PASSING FASHION TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 40.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 36.6% | 2.73 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SHINING RED | 18.5% | 5.40 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 9.1% | 10.93 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 7.7% | 12.95 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | AWE | 7.0% | 14.23 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | VOYAGE STAR | 6.7% | 14.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 4.0% | 24.93 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY | 2.3% | 42.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | LEGION OF MERIT | 2.2% | 45.48 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.0% | 50.74 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.8% | 54.61 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | PASSING FASHION | 1.2% | 85.68 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | WAH MAY LUCK | 0.7% | 134.36 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 49.5
PLACE
6 28
10 15
13 15
QUINELLA
10,13 71
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 47
6,13 75.5
10,13 29.5
FORECAST
13,10 174
TIERCE
13,10,6 1,017
TRIO
6,10,13 147
FIRST 4
6,7,10,13 333
QUARTET
13,10,6,7 7,125
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/10 85.5
10/13 535
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,9/2,4,10/6,10,13 795,674
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,9/2,4,10/Any Combination 3,038