沙田 · 2021-09-26
第 10場
2021-09-26沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的TRILLION WIN勝出，贏出1-1/4。NABOO ATTACK獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA RAD獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門KILLER BEE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TRILLION WIN CP 1.08.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | NABOO ATTACK Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | IGNITING B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | LOVING A BOOM TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 3 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SHINING GEM CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 74.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | KILLER BEE H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNER METHOD CP1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 5.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SHINING ACE B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 63.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY BOY B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 211.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FAT TURTLE B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 47.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KILLER BEE | 47.5% | 2.11 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | NABOO ATTACK | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | WINNER METHOD | 13.2% | 7.58 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | IGNITING | 5.4% | 18.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | TRILLION WIN | 5.2% | 19.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 2.6% | 38.03 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | LOVING A BOOM | 2.3% | 44.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SHINING ACE | 1.4% | 69.29 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | FAT TURTLE | 1.4% | 71.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | SHINING GEM | 1.0% | 104.05 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 0.9% | 115.24 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNY BOY | 0.3% | 288.37 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 64.5
PLACE
1 15
3 33.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,9 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 88
1,9 40.5
3,9 114.5
FORECAST
9,1 316
TIERCE
9,1,3 2,375
TRIO
1,3,9 499
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 971
QUARTET
9,1,3,6 16,676
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,14/1,3,9 30,186
9TH DOUBLE
14/1 34.5
14/9 351
SIX UP
2,10/10,13/7,8/3,5/5,14/1,9 2,833
10/13/7/5/14/9 2,393,743
2 [Z Purton], 5 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
5/14/1 45
5/14/9 701