沙田 · 2021-10-17
第 10場
2021-10-17沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的TRILLION WIN勝出，贏出SH。LUCKY MORE獲得亞軍；FANTASTIC TREASURE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門FANTASTIC TREASURE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TRILLION WIN CP 1.08.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY MORE CP/XB Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 2.5 | HD |
| 4 | 12 | FANTASTIC WAY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | SEATTLE CHOICE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 5 | 117.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 67.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 13 | 110.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SCORES OF FUN TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | WINNING DREAMER CP1/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY BOY B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 306.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 2 | 46.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO E-/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 134.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FANTASTIC WAY | 33.1% | 3.03 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 25.0% | 4.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | TRILLION WIN | 15.8% | 6.33 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNING DREAMER | 5.5% | 18.29 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY MORE | 4.2% | 23.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.1% | 32.36 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SCORES OF FUN | 2.8% | 35.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLD CHEST | 2.7% | 36.69 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 2.1% | 47.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH | 1.9% | 53.84 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO | 1.7% | 58.19 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM | 1.7% | 59.31 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | SUNNY BOY | 0.5% | 192.44 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 42.5
PLACE
2 14
6 15
9 41
QUINELLA
6,9 278
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 29.5
2,9 94
6,9 86.5
FORECAST
6,9 778
TIERCE
6,9,2 2,042
TRIO
2,6,9 305
FIRST 4
2,6,9,12 321
QUARTET
6,9,2,12 13,282
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 18
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,14/2,6,9 6,489
9TH DOUBLE
2/6 141.5
2/9 112
SIX UP
1/5/10/5/2/6 788,402
1,11/5,7/9,10/5,12/2,9/6,9 30,898
3 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/2/6 867
5/2/9 618