沙田 · 2021-10-17
第 3場
2021-10-17沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的GRACYLOVE勝出，贏出N。AWESOME TREASURE獲得亞軍；HAPPY DAILY獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門FALCON TURBO跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GRACYLOVE 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY CP/TT1 K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 2 | 30.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FALCON TURBO B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | ENCHANTING START B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 188.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | RUN THE TABLE H M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 4 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 14 | 71.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | LEGEND GOES B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 63.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | MAN UP XB-/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 56.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY B2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 233.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | OUR CLASS ACT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 140.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GRACYLOVE | 39.7% | 2.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 14.4% | 6.96 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ENCHANTING START | 11.1% | 9.02 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | RUN THE TABLE | 5.5% | 18.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.0% | 24.71 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | BELLA BABY | 3.8% | 26.19 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | WHAT A LEGEND | 3.6% | 28.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | LEGEND GOES | 1.8% | 56.29 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | MAN UP | 1.8% | 56.90 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE | 1.7% | 57.23 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | STRATHMORETOO | 1.0% | 98.61 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | OUR CLASS ACT | 0.5% | 208.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY | 0.4% | 223.01 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 53
PLACE
2 20
8 16.5
12 67
QUINELLA
2,8 132
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 51
2,12 185
8,12 187.5
FORECAST
2,8 332
TIERCE
2,8,12 4,453
TRIO
2,8,12 976
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 872
QUARTET
2,8,12,7 22,521
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 507.5
2/8 74
3 PICK 1
A2 22.5
A3 —
A1 —