沙田 · 2021-10-17
第 4場
2021-10-17沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K H Ting訓練的SEASONS BLISS勝出，贏出3/4。WHIZZ KID獲得亞軍；GOOD NEWS獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門WHIZZ KID跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS B1 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | WHIZZ KID B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GOOD NEWS TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 4 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | INFINITY WIN TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DR WINNING TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR H J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | LORIZ B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 78.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR-/V2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE B- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 228.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HERCULES H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 28.8% | 3.47 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GOOD NEWS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.24 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | INFINITY WIN | 10.2% | 9.78 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | WHIZZ KID | 8.4% | 11.92 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS | 7.3% | 13.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | DR WINNING | 4.3% | 23.15 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 3.3% | 30.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | LORIZ | 2.9% | 34.87 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 2.1% | 46.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | MOON PEAKS | 1.8% | 54.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 1.8% | 55.00 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR | 0.8% | 122.19 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.3% | 385.19 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 91
PLACE
5 16
6 36
11 25.5
QUINELLA
5,11 218
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 83
5,11 83
6,11 147.5
FORECAST
11,5 517
TIERCE
11,5,6 3,685
TRIO
5,6,11 763
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 1,305
QUARTET
11,5,6,13 27,032
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/5,6,11 62,830
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/5 51
2/11 500.5