Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SEASONS BLISS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with WHIZZ KID second and GOOD NEWS third. The 3.8 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS B1 1.09.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | WHIZZ KID B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GOOD NEWS TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 4 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | INFINITY WIN TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DR WINNING TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR H J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | LORIZ B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 78.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR-/V2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE B- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 228.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HERCULES H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 28.8% | 3.47 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GOOD NEWS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.24 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | INFINITY WIN | 10.2% | 9.78 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | WHIZZ KID | 8.4% | 11.92 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS | 7.3% | 13.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | DR WINNING | 4.3% | 23.15 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 3.3% | 30.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | LORIZ | 2.9% | 34.87 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 2.1% | 46.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | MOON PEAKS | 1.8% | 54.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 1.8% | 55.00 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR | 0.8% | 122.19 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.3% | 385.19 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 91
PLACE
5 16
6 36
11 25.5
QUINELLA
5,11 218
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 83
5,11 83
6,11 147.5
FORECAST
11,5 517
TIERCE
11,5,6 3,685
TRIO
5,6,11 763
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 1,305
QUARTET
11,5,6,13 27,032
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/5,6,11 62,830
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/5 51
2/11 500.5