Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB 2.02.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 7.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | AWE PC-/TT2 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B- M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Led early TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.3 | 21-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 10 | 23.0 | 28-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with EZRA second and JOYFUL HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite DRAGON COMMANDER finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 20.3% | 4.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 17.6% | 5.67 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 12.2% | 8.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | EZRA | 9.7% | 10.27 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 8.6% | 11.61 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 8.3% | 12.02 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 6.5% | 15.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | AWE | 5.9% | 17.00 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 4.2% | 23.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 3.7% | 27.10 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 2.8% | 35.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 76.5
PLACE
1 26
2 23.5
3 36
QUINELLA
1,2 286
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 95
1,3 133.5
2,3 132.5
FORECAST
2,1 507
TIERCE
2,1,3 3,807
TRIO
1,2,3 710
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 1,360
QUARTET
2,1,3,4 31,266
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 28
A3 —