Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly B- M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 14 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 6 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 11 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LONDON HALL B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENZEMBLE XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPTAIN TIGER TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 1 | 169.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 110.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GREEN LASER Led early B/TT1 L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 8 | 134.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA TEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with PRECISE EXPRESS second and HELENE ALLIBOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite ENTRUSTED finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 19.7% | 5.08 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE | 15.5% | 6.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 10.6% | 9.43 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 10.5% | 9.48 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 9.5% | 10.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 8.3% | 12.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.1% | 16.50 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | VINCY | 5.1% | 19.58 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.3% | 23.38 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 3.8% | 26.38 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 3.7% | 27.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL | 1.4% | 72.77 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 0.9% | 110.94 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | CAPTAIN TIGER | 0.8% | 131.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 82.5
PLACE
1 24
8 32
11 40
QUINELLA
1,11 509.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 156
1,11 166
8,11 210.5
FORECAST
1,11 778
TIERCE
1,11,8 9,200
TRIO
1,8,11 2,070
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 4,026
QUARTET
1,11,8,12 88,458
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 354
11/11 137.5