Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with ZEBROWSKI second and FLYING QUEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite C P BRAVE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V 1.48.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 8.9 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | ZEBROWSKI Led early A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | C P BRAVE J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 4 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ENJOYING B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 2 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | CHARITY GO SR H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEFANO Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 75.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER FOOTBALL Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 10.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | C P BRAVE | 32.5% | 3.07 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 20.2% | 4.94 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO | 11.3% | 8.82 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | CELESTIAL POWER | 8.5% | 11.72 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | ZEBROWSKI | 8.4% | 11.92 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | ENJOYING | 6.0% | 16.70 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING QUEST | 5.3% | 18.96 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVAQUIN | 3.1% | 31.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEFANO | 2.4% | 41.96 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CHARITY GO | 2.2% | 45.71 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 89.5
PLACE
6 31
9 21.5
10 24.5
QUINELLA
9,10 185.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 92
6,10 123.5
9,10 61
FORECAST
10,9 474
TIERCE
10,9,6 3,181
TRIO
6,9,10 624
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 236
QUARTET
10,9,6,5 9,268
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/6,9,10 133,947
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/9 115.5
5/10 649