Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR Closed strongly CP 1.21.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALCARI Closed strongly V H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 6.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ELIGERE Closed strongly B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GREEN AEON H/TT- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | READY TO WIN B/XB1/TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly B1/H1/TT1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 12 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN SR/TT- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MR CROISSANT CP H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ABLE REIGN B R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 4 | 137.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MY SUGAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-3/4, with MASTER HERO second and JADE PHOENIX third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR | 32.9% | 3.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 28.5% | 3.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 7.1% | 14.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 6.4% | 15.71 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ALCARI | 5.9% | 16.91 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.4% | 29.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | READY TO WIN | 3.3% | 30.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ELIGERE | 2.9% | 34.73 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 2.6% | 37.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN AEON | 1.9% | 52.56 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 1.6% | 62.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 1.5% | 65.25 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MR CROISSANT | 1.1% | 94.15 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | ABLE REIGN | 0.9% | 106.25 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 24
PLACE
2 13
9 18.5
14 40
QUINELLA
2,9 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 26.5
2,14 70.5
9,14 108.5
FORECAST
2,9 112
TIERCE
2,9,14 790
TRIO
2,9,14 228
FIRST 4
2,4,9,14 353
QUARTET
2,9,14,4 3,861
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/2 192.5
5/9 72.5