Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with HEARTY WISH second and ROMANTIC COMBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite KING OF THE COURT finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.21.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | HEARTY WISH Closed strongly SR/H1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 87.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 2 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly CP1/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 163.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HERO Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 12 | 229.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 7 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MONSTER KAKA TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KING OF THE COURT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 2.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SHADOW RUNNER B-/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 59.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | LOVE ME MORE L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 26.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 10 | 80.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KING OF THE COURT | 27.5% | 3.63 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 18.0% | 5.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR | 8.9% | 11.23 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | INFINITE POWER | 7.3% | 13.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 6.0% | 16.55 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE | 3.3% | 30.67 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 3.1% | 31.76 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | MONSTER KAKA | 3.0% | 33.63 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | LOVE ME MORE | 2.9% | 34.47 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | SHADOW RUNNER | 1.7% | 60.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 1.6% | 63.85 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | HEARTY WISH | 1.5% | 68.76 | 2 |
| 14 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.7% | 137.29 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 108.5
PLACE
2 31.5
3 13
10 184
QUINELLA
2,10 3,121
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 64
2,10 722.5
3,10 556
FORECAST
2,10 5,768
TIERCE
2,10,3 33,387
TRIO
2,3,10 3,452
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 11,008
QUARTET
2,10,3,4 382,433
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 776.5
2/10 707.5
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A1 —
A2 —