Sha Tin · 2021-10-17
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PANFIELD Closed strongly TT 1.34.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 7.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR-/XB-/B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 6 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WAIKUKU Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-17 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PANFIELD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with PRECIOUSSHIP second and TOURBILLON DIAMOND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite SKY DARCI finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY DARCI | 28.8% | 3.47 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | PANFIELD | 16.9% | 5.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 11.8% | 8.51 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 9.7% | 10.26 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 6.6% | 15.19 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 5.7% | 17.47 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.73 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 3.6% | 27.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.5% | 28.31 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 2.7% | 36.69 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 2.3% | 43.75 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 72
PLACE
5 20.5
10 17.5
12 51.5
QUINELLA
5,12 538
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 67
5,12 177.5
10,12 161.5
FORECAST
5,12 1,133
TIERCE
5,12,10 5,528
TRIO
5,10,12 1,081
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 2,789
QUARTET
5,12,10,6 61,381
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5
7TH DOUBLE
10/5 878.5
10/12 407.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 29.5
B1 —
B3 —
B2 —