沙田 · 2021-11-07
第 4場
2021-11-07沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的SNOWALOT勝出，贏出3/4。GOOD RUNNER獲得亞軍；BAEBAE TSOI獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門SIGHT SPIRIT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SNOWALOT 1.09.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GOOD RUNNER XB1 C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 7 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BAEBAE TSOI CP1/TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 67.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WHIZZ KID B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SIGHT SPIRIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FALCON TURBO B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | WINMORE STAR B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | THETA HEDGE H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 193.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE CP-/B2/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ENCHANTING START B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 59.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 39.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | AWESOME TREASURE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 28.0% | 3.57 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SNOWALOT | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 16.4% | 6.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 8.9% | 11.29 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | BAEBAE TSOI | 7.3% | 13.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.7% | 21.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | GOOD RUNNER | 4.2% | 23.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.73 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | ENCHANTING START | 3.2% | 31.74 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT | 2.1% | 46.84 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | WINMORE STAR | 1.8% | 56.57 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | THETA HEDGE | 0.6% | 176.33 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 108.5
PLACE
3 27.5
5 106.5
10 38.5
QUINELLA
3,10 804.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 567
3,10 202
5,10 721
FORECAST
3,10 1,040
TIERCE
3,10,5 34,688
TRIO
3,5,10 5,883
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 5,263
QUARTET
3,10,5,2 149,962
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/3,5,10 752,004
3 PICK 1
A2 42
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 664
8/10 237.5