沙田 · 2021-11-07
第 5場
2021-11-07沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的PEAK TO PEAK勝出，贏出NOSE。NIMBLE NIMBUS獲得亞軍；VOYAGE STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門SO AWESOME跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | PEAK TO PEAK 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 46.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS 後段發力 XB/CP1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR 早段領放 V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 6.8 | N |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HK DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | MERIDIAN GENIUS 後段發力 K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BELLA BABY XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 8.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | UNICORNBABY B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | WHAT A LEGEND B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SO AWESOME J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 12 | 2.8 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | LOYAL AMBITION H1/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 139.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SO AWESOME | 16.9% | 5.92 | 13 |
| 2 | 7 | BELLA BABY | 16.1% | 6.22 | 10 |
| 3 | 13 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 9.3% | 10.71 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 6.5% | 15.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.4% | 15.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.0% | 16.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 5.9% | 16.98 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 5.7% | 17.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHARGE ON | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | HK DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.76 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | LOYAL AMBITION | 3.8% | 26.39 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | WHAT A LEGEND | 2.3% | 44.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | UNICORNBABY | 2.2% | 46.10 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 463
PLACE
9 23.5
12 21.5
14 97.5
QUINELLA
9,14 1,548
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 98
9,14 408.5
12,14 448.5
FORECAST
14,9 3,831
TIERCE
14,9,12 41,329
TRIO
9,12,14 4,298
FIRST 4
9,10,12,14 9,549
QUARTET
14,9,12,10 306,223
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/9 101.5
3/14 3,061