沙田 · 2021-11-07
第 2場
2021-11-07沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的INFINITE POWER勝出，贏出1/2。MEGA BONUS獲得亞軍；NOBLE STEED獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INFINITE POWER 一路領先 CP 1.21.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | MEGA BONUS 後段發力 XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 3 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | LADY FIRST 後段發力 CP/H/XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | DR WINNING 後段發力 TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS CP-/B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO 後段發力 C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 6 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TRONIC MIGHTY XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 115.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | EL JEFE 後段發力 XB A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SPARTAN MISSILE B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | VUKAN XB K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 8.4 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED V-/B2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 44.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | FANTASTIC SHOW B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | LAND POWER K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 23.1% | 4.32 | 7 |
| 2 | 14 | MEGA BONUS | 15.6% | 6.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | VUKAN | 8.9% | 11.24 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | DR WINNING | 8.6% | 11.65 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | INFINITE POWER | 7.7% | 12.93 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 7.7% | 12.98 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | LADY FIRST | 7.7% | 12.98 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | EL JEFE | 5.5% | 18.21 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.6% | 27.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | NOBLE STEED | 3.4% | 29.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 3.4% | 29.06 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 1.6% | 61.57 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 1.5% | 66.28 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.5% | 66.61 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 38
PLACE
4 16
5 57
14 22
QUINELLA
4,14 176
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 162
4,14 69.5
5,14 259.5
FORECAST
4,14 267
TIERCE
4,14,5 4,627
TRIO
4,5,14 1,327
FIRST 4
4,5,10,14 4,621
QUARTET
4,14,5,10 49,995
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
13/4 637.5
13/14 123.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —