沙田 · 2021-11-07
第 8場
2021-11-07沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、R Gibson訓練的CORDYCEPS SIX勝出，贏出2。RUN RUN COOL獲得亞軍；NERVOUS WITNESS獲得季軍。1.1倍大熱門NERVOUS WITNESS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 0.55.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | RUN RUN COOL B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 68.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 1.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RESOLUTE B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 13 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 96.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ENNEA FORTUNE H1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FANTASY B/XB H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 221.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 7 | 126.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | MOERAKI B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 100.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 49.6% | 2.02 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 18.6% | 5.37 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 7.2% | 13.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | RESOLUTE | 4.8% | 20.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.5% | 22.18 | 10 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.2% | 31.62 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 2.4% | 42.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 2.1% | 48.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 1.9% | 52.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | RUN RUN COOL | 1.9% | 52.84 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | MOERAKI | 1.6% | 62.13 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING GENIUS | 1.3% | 75.15 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | FANTASY | 1.0% | 104.80 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 128
PLACE
1 10.1
6 20.5
8 70
QUINELLA
6,8 2,377
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 24.5
1,8 97
6,8 292
FORECAST
6,8 5,063
TIERCE
6,8,1 12,070
TRIO
1,6,8 562
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 992
QUARTET
6,8,1,10 79,044
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 74.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/6 673.5
7/8 621