沙田 · 2021-11-07
第 10場
2021-11-07沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的IMA SINGLE MAN勝出，贏出1/2。BLAZE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；INVINCIBLE MISSILE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門BLAZE WARRIOR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.21.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR 後段發力 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 49.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 127.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 188.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | MISSION BRAVO 後段發力 B/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 107.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 9.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | FUNCTION PATCH 後段發力 B/H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 65.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 16.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | SICOMORO H/P C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 286.0 | 25 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 18.5% | 5.40 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | ALL BEAUTY | 14.3% | 7.01 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 7.7% | 12.94 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 7.0% | 14.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | PACKING FAMOUS | 5.3% | 19.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.2% | 23.90 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER WINNER | 4.2% | 23.97 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | LET'S DO IT | 1.4% | 72.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 0.9% | 108.58 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | FUNCTION PATCH | 0.9% | 115.57 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SICOMORO | 0.6% | 165.65 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 0.6% | 171.16 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | MISSION BRAVO | 0.5% | 192.50 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 99.5
PLACE
1 14.5
3 27
9 81.5
QUINELLA
1,3 182
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 69
1,9 212.5
3,9 474.5
FORECAST
3,1 592
TIERCE
3,1,9 8,920
TRIO
1,3,9 1,916
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 11,081
QUARTET
3,1,9,8 241,438
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,3,9 57,037
9TH DOUBLE
1/1 10.5
1/3 414.5
SIX UP
9,14/2,7/2,7/6,8/1,2/1,3 8,782
14/2/7/6/1/3 2,857,376
14/7/7/6/1/3 1,666,803
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
6/1/1 208
6/1/3 4,978