Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. IMA SINGLE MAN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with BLAZE WARRIOR second and INVINCIBLE MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BLAZE WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.21.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 49.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 127.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 188.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | MISSION BRAVO Closed strongly B/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 107.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 9.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 65.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 16.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | SICOMORO H/P C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 286.0 | 25 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 18.5% | 5.40 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | ALL BEAUTY | 14.3% | 7.01 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 7.7% | 12.94 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 7.0% | 14.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | PACKING FAMOUS | 5.3% | 19.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.2% | 23.90 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER WINNER | 4.2% | 23.97 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | LET'S DO IT | 1.4% | 72.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 0.9% | 108.58 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | FUNCTION PATCH | 0.9% | 115.57 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SICOMORO | 0.6% | 165.65 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 0.6% | 171.16 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | MISSION BRAVO | 0.5% | 192.50 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 99.5
PLACE
1 14.5
3 27
9 81.5
QUINELLA
1,3 182
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 69
1,9 212.5
3,9 474.5
FORECAST
3,1 592
TIERCE
3,1,9 8,920
TRIO
1,3,9 1,916
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 11,081
QUARTET
3,1,9,8 241,438
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,3,9 57,037
9TH DOUBLE
1/1 10.5
1/3 414.5
SIX UP
9,14/2,7/2,7/6,8/1,2/1,3 8,782
14/2/7/6/1/3 2,857,376
14/7/7/6/1/3 1,666,803
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
6/1/1 208
6/1/3 4,978