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Sha Tin · 2021-11-07

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 IMA SINGLE MAN Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.21.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 13 9.9 1/2
2 0 BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size 7 2.6 1/2
3 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes 14 49.0 1-1/4
4 0 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 11 127.0 1-3/4
5 0 ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly CP A Badel · F C Lor 4 5.7 2-1/4
6 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · T P Yung 9 188.0 2-1/2
7 0 HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 1 4.4 3-1/4
8 0 PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 5 17.0 4-1/4
9 0 MISSION BRAVO Closed strongly B/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 107.0 6-1/4
10 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG B Z Purton · K L Man 6 9.0 6-1/2
11 0 SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip 12 20.0 7
12 0 FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui 2 65.0 8-1/2
13 0 GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu 8 16.0 13-1/2
14 0 SICOMORO H/P C Wong · D A Hayes 10 286.0 25

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. IMA SINGLE MAN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with BLAZE WARRIOR second and INVINCIBLE MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BLAZE WARRIOR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IMA SINGLE MAN—2. BLAZE WARRIOR+0.5L3. INVINCIBLE MISSILE+1.25L4. LET'S DO IT+1.75L5. ALL BEAUTY+2.25L6. PERFECT MARYKNOLL+2.5L7. HARMONY WIN WIN+3.25L8. PACKING FAMOUS+4.25L9. MISSION BRAVO+6.25L10. STAR OF YUEN LONG+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BLAZE WARRIOR (34.0%) finished 2nd — the winner IMA SINGLE MAN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BLAZE WARRIOR 34.0% 2.94 2
2 0 HARMONY WIN WIN 18.5% 5.40 7
3 0 ALL BEAUTY 14.3% 7.01 5
4 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 7.7% 12.94 10
5 0 IMA SINGLE MAN 7.0% 14.23 1
6 0 PACKING FAMOUS 5.3% 19.02 8
7 0 GOLDEN LINK 4.2% 23.90 13
8 0 SUPER WINNER 4.2% 23.97 11
9 0 LET'S DO IT 1.4% 72.65 4
10 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 0.9% 108.58 3
11 0 FUNCTION PATCH 0.9% 115.57 12
12 0 SICOMORO 0.6% 165.65 14
13 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 0.6% 171.16 6
14 0 MISSION BRAVO 0.5% 192.50 9
BLAZE WARRIORHARMONY WIN WINALL BEAUTYSTAR OF YUEN LONGIMA SINGLE MAN — wonPACKING FAMOUSGOLDEN LINKSUPER WINNERLET'S DO ITINVINCIBLE MISSILEFUNCTION PATCHSICOMOROPERFECT MARYKNOLLMISSION BRAVO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 99.5

PLACE

1 14.5

3 27

9 81.5

QUINELLA

1,3 182

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 69

1,9 212.5

3,9 474.5

FORECAST

3,1 592

TIERCE

3,1,9 8,920

TRIO

1,3,9 1,916

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 11,081

QUARTET

3,1,9,8 241,438

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 20

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,4/1,3,9 57,037

9TH DOUBLE

1/1 10.5

1/3 414.5

SIX UP

9,14/2,7/2,7/6,8/1,2/1,3 8,782

14/2/7/6/1/3 2,857,376

14/7/7/6/1/3 1,666,803

2 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

6/1/1 208

6/1/3 4,978