Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER KIN Closed strongly TT 1.34.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 9.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 9 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE MAN Closed strongly B-/H-/V1/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 53.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 8 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPARKLING STAR Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE Closed strongly H- H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 13 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 14 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN TECH TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | INCREDIBLE Led early TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 12 | 41.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 9.3 | 21-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER KIN, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with DIAMOND STAR second and LIGHT MY DAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite BRAVE POWER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 22.2% | 4.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 12.4% | 8.03 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 9.5% | 10.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SPARKLING STAR | 8.3% | 12.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WIN TECH | 5.0% | 20.16 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 3.8% | 26.41 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 3.6% | 27.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE | 3.4% | 29.48 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.4% | 41.13 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 2.1% | 48.40 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | INCREDIBLE | 1.6% | 61.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.3% | 75.88 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 91
PLACE
7 25.5
9 30
13 28.5
QUINELLA
9,13 556.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 134.5
7,13 139
9,13 172.5
FORECAST
13,9 1,088
TIERCE
13,9,7 7,499
TRIO
7,9,13 1,404
FIRST 4
7,9,12,13 10,756
QUARTET
13,9,7,12 260,393
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 20.5
A1 —