Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DARCI JOY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with OSCAR GLORY second and SHANGHAI DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite OSCAR GLORY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B 1.34.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 13 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | HERCULES Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 70.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MAKE IT TURBO Closed strongly H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 12 | 200.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | JOY MASTER V-/B1/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 1 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BIG BROOK Closed strongly B B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 5.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | UNIVERSAL HERO A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 6 | 90.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | SUNNY BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FOREVER TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 14 | 222.0 | 27-3/4 |
| — | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 22.3% | 4.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | DAILY CHARM | 14.9% | 6.71 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.63 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 11.2% | 8.96 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 8.1% | 12.29 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | SUNNY BABY | 7.5% | 13.39 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | DARCI JOY | 6.9% | 14.40 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.87 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | BIG BROOK | 3.6% | 27.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HERCULES | 2.3% | 43.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | JOY MASTER | 2.1% | 46.54 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 2.0% | 50.83 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | MAKE IT TURBO | 1.0% | 100.27 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | FOREVER | 0.8% | 121.84 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 70
PLACE
1 14.5
5 38.5
8 20
QUINELLA
1,8 103
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 71
1,8 44.5
5,8 139.5
FORECAST
8,1 316
TIERCE
8,1,5 2,802
TRIO
1,5,8 460
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 867
QUARTET
8,1,5,10 20,850
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 19
4/8 340
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 16.5
A3 —