Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Wire to wire B/TT 1.46.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 8.2 | N |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB2/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TOURBILLON DIAMOND, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with KA YING STAR second and RELIABLE TEAM third. The winner led throughout. The 2.5 favourite GLORIOUS DRAGON finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 25.6% | 3.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 15.1% | 6.61 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 10.4% | 9.65 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 7.5% | 13.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 7.3% | 13.76 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.0% | 16.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 5.9% | 16.91 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 65
PLACE
2 38
7 20
8 26
QUINELLA
2,7 434
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 126.5
2,8 201.5
7,8 82.5
FORECAST
7,2 1,298
TIERCE
7,2,8 6,449
TRIO
2,7,8 964
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 1,527
QUARTET
7,2,8,5 39,091
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/2,7,8 11,760
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 49.5
2/7 103.5
7/2 37
7/7 77.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B1 —
B2 42.5