Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TRILLION WIN, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by DH, with FANTASTIC WAY second and LUCKY MORE third. The 2.6 favourite FANTASTIC WAY finished 1st.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TRILLION WIN CP 1.08.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 3.1 | DH |
| 1 | 7 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.08.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 2.6 | DH |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY MORE CP/XB Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 4 | 10 | CZARSON CP/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 30.0 | SH |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER CP2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 7 | 81.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FANTASTIC WAY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TRILLION WIN | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY MORE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 10.5% | 9.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | MAN STAR | 6.6% | 15.06 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 5.0% | 20.01 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 4.3% | 23.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | CZARSON | 4.2% | 23.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.7% | 36.45 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO | 2.1% | 47.33 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 15.5
7 13
PLACE
2 12
5 20.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
2,7 40
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 33.5
2,7 19
5,7 37.5
FORECAST
2,7 46
7,2 32
TIERCE
2,7,5 145
7,2,5 110
TRIO
2,5,7 59
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 343
QUARTET
2,7,5,10 2,377
7,2,5,10 1,436
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 10.1
A1 10.1
5TH DOUBLE
14/2 1,103
14/7 764.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,10/Any Combination/Any Combination 1,095