Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 46.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly XB/CP1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR Led early V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 6.8 | N |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS Closed strongly K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BELLA BABY XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 8.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | UNICORNBABY B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SO AWESOME J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 12 | 2.8 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H1/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 139.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PEAK TO PEAK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by NOSE, with NIMBLE NIMBUS second and VOYAGE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SO AWESOME finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 16.9% | 5.92 | 13 |
| 2 | 0 | BELLA BABY | 16.1% | 6.22 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 9.3% | 10.71 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 6.5% | 15.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.4% | 15.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.0% | 16.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 5.9% | 16.98 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 5.7% | 17.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.76 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 3.8% | 26.39 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 2.3% | 44.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 2.2% | 46.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 463
PLACE
9 23.5
12 21.5
14 97.5
QUINELLA
9,14 1,548
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 98
9,14 408.5
12,14 448.5
FORECAST
14,9 3,831
TIERCE
14,9,12 41,329
TRIO
9,12,14 4,298
FIRST 4
9,10,12,14 9,549
QUARTET
14,9,12,10 306,223
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
4TH DOUBLE
3/9 101.5
3/14 3,061