Sha Tin · 2021-11-07
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-07 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MASTER DELIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with MALDIVES second and ENTRUSTED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly 1.33.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER TEN Led early CP-/XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 8 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | KASI FARASI TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 112.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 9 | PAKISTAN FRIEND C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASTER DELIGHT | 23.1% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | MALDIVES | 16.0% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 11.4% | 8.77 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 10.5% | 9.48 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 10.0% | 9.96 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER TEN | 9.7% | 10.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION | 8.1% | 12.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 5.6% | 17.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 4.3% | 23.21 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | KASI FARASI | 1.3% | 74.48 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 27.5
PLACE
1 14
2 19
4 28
QUINELLA
1,2 92
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 37
1,4 65
2,4 87.5
FORECAST
1,2 143
TIERCE
1,2,4 783
TRIO
1,2,4 200
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 183
QUARTET
1,2,4,3 2,618
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 538
6/2 117