沙田 · 2021-11-13
第 1場
2021-11-13沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、D J Hall訓練的EIGHT TRIGRAMS勝出，贏出N。VENTO獲得亞軍；FLYING DRAGON獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門VENTO跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT2 0.56.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 12 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | VENTO Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 1.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING HIGH H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | DRAGON BABY B/E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | ABOVE ALL XB/H1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | RING BELLS A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 3 | 144.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY CP-/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 10 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY TREASURE H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 140.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 193.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | HANDSOME GUYS B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 22.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | JUBILATION V1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 183.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VENTO | 33.5% | 2.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 21.1% | 4.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | DRAGON BABY | 7.3% | 13.75 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 6.7% | 15.03 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 6.5% | 15.40 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 5.9% | 16.83 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 4.6% | 21.61 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | RING BELLS | 4.0% | 24.99 | 8 |
| 9 | 13 | ABOVE ALL | 3.0% | 33.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME GUYS | 2.6% | 39.10 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.1% | 46.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | JUBILATION | 1.5% | 68.62 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY TREASURE | 0.7% | 138.39 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC | 0.6% | 180.33 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 136.5
PLACE
2 20
3 28
9 10.1
QUINELLA
3,9 100
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 96
2,9 26.5
3,9 43
FORECAST
3,9 384
TIERCE
3,9,2 1,575
TRIO
2,3,9 179
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 300
QUARTET
3,9,2,1 12,290
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 52.5
A1 —
A3 —