沙田 · 2021-11-13
第 4場
2021-11-13沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、T P Yung訓練的INCREDIBLE勝出，贏出2-1/2。SUCCESS ALLSTARS獲得亞軍；WAH MAY LUCK獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。5.3倍大熱門FIGURES TWO跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | INCREDIBLE 一路領先 TT 1.47.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 10 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR 後段發力 E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | JOLLY FOREVER 後段發力 XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 6.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | CROWN AVENUE V- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER KIN TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 1 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | JIMMU 後段發力 SR J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FIGURES TWO K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 5.3 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SPEED FORCE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 14 | 14.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING GENGHIS V C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 94.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JIMMU | 14.5% | 6.88 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 14.2% | 7.02 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR | 11.2% | 8.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | FIGURES TWO | 11.2% | 8.96 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | JOLLY FOREVER | 9.9% | 10.09 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER KIN | 9.8% | 10.17 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 7.3% | 13.78 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 6.4% | 15.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | CROWN AVENUE | 4.3% | 23.29 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 4.1% | 24.18 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | WAH MAY LUCK | 2.2% | 44.64 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | SPEED FORCE | 2.1% | 47.86 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | INCREDIBLE | 1.6% | 63.43 | 1 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING GENGHIS | 1.1% | 88.38 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 167
PLACE
2 95.5
3 67.5
11 51.5
QUINELLA
3,11 3,662.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 886
2,11 1,277
3,11 1,127
FORECAST
11,3 7,178
TIERCE
11,3,2 148,527
TRIO
2,3,11 32,610
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 39,224
QUARTET
11,3,2,8 1,053,825
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/2,3,11 2,014,759
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 244
8/11 1,931