沙田 · 2021-11-13
第 9場
2021-11-13沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的THE GOLDEN SCENERY勝出，贏出SH。PACKING VICTORY獲得亞軍；ROCK YA HEART獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門PACKING VICTORY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING VICTORY TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 1.9 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EXCELLENT DADDY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | WAR WEAPON TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | ARMOUR EAGLE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 153.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | GALLANT EXPRESS E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 124.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | BIRDSVILLE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HURRY HURRY GAIN H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | IAN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SCIENCE PATCH B1 C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 42.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING VICTORY | 42.6% | 2.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | WAR WEAPON | 15.0% | 6.66 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART | 8.7% | 11.50 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 7.7% | 12.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 5.7% | 17.51 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | SCIENCE PATCH | 4.2% | 24.03 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | IAN | 1.5% | 64.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 1.5% | 66.43 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | BIRDSVILLE | 0.8% | 129.93 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 0.7% | 148.54 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 0.6% | 168.14 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 80.5
PLACE
1 12
2 21
4 28.5
QUINELLA
1,2 69.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29.5
1,4 42.5
2,4 97
FORECAST
2,1 199
TIERCE
2,1,4 1,307
TRIO
1,2,4 140
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 173
QUARTET
2,1,4,3 5,044
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 10.5
5/2 141.5