沙田 · 2021-11-13
第 6場
2021-11-13沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的BEST FOR YOU勝出，贏出N。PLIKCLONE獲得亞軍；VIVA HUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.6倍大熱門COUNTRY BOY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B 1.22.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 13 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | PLIKCLONE 後段發力 B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 12 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER 後段發力 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MILLENNIUM FALCON 後段發力 H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING VICTORY 後段發力 H/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 47.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | HEARTY WISH H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY 早段領放 H V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 7 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | EMBARKED H K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 14 | 85.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | LEGEND GOES B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 156.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 23.7% | 4.23 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 12.6% | 7.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | COUNTRY BOY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING VICTORY | 7.9% | 12.64 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 7.0% | 14.21 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | PLIKCLONE | 4.9% | 20.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.5% | 28.23 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 3.0% | 33.53 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | LEGEND GOES | 1.6% | 61.31 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | STRATHMORETOO | 1.3% | 78.51 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 1.2% | 81.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | EMBARKED | 0.8% | 118.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 164
PLACE
3 31
11 32.5
13 49
QUINELLA
11,13 746.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 145.5
3,13 250
11,13 267.5
FORECAST
13,11 1,844
TIERCE
13,11,3 16,300
TRIO
3,11,13 2,046
FIRST 4
3,11,12,13 3,156
QUARTET
13,11,3,12 130,270
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/11 141.5
7/13 1,395
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,11/7,10,12/Any Combination 925,434